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Charting the Oscar Winner Predictors Below you will find what is believed to be an accurate reading of the final Oscar winner predictions of many print and online Oscar predictors. Though we've tried to remain as accurate as possible, the chart may very well contain errors. Please send comments, corrections, updates and additions to us via our comment form.
Last Updated March 6, 2006 @ 12:48am (PT)
|
Source
|
All
|
Top
21
|
Top
8
|
|
Actor
|
Actress
|
S.
Actor
|
S.
Actress
|
Orig.
Screenpl.
|
Adapt.
Screenpl.
|
Director
|
Anim.
Feat.
|
Foreign
|
Cinematog.
|
Art
Dir.
|
Vis.
Effects
|
Costume
|
Make-Up
|
Editing
|
Score
|
Song
|
Sound
|
Sound
Edit.
|
Doc.
Short
|
Doc.
Feature
|
Anim.
Short
|
Live
Action Short
|
|
|
|
Crash
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Memoirs
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Hustle
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Triumph
|
Penguins
|
Moon
|
Shooter
|
||||
| Academy Tracker (Variety) |
79% (19/24)
|
%
(18/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Transamerica
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
Moon
|
Farm
|
|
| Adam Lucyk (Oscar Beachhouse) |
75% (18/24)
|
81%
(17/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Crash
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Adams
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Crash
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
Moon
|
Runaway
|
|
|
America's
Line
|
83% (10/12)
|
83%
(10/12)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Brokeback
|
Transamerica
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Andy Scott (Everything Oscar) |
84% (16/19)
|
84%
(16/19)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
-
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Hustle
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Anne Thompson (N.Y. Magazine) |
67% (16/24)
|
86%
(16/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Crash
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
9
|
Our
Time
|
|
| Carla Meyer (Sacramento Bee) |
80% (8/10)
|
80%
(8/10)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Penguins
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Christy Lemire (AP) |
60% (3/5)
|
60%
(3/5)
|
60%
(3/5)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Williams
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Cifra (Cifra2's Mania) |
70% (7/10)
|
70%
(7/10)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Williams
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Murderball
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Claudia Pulg (USA Today) |
83% (5/6)
|
83%
(5/6)
|
83%
(5/6)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
-
|
-
|
Lee
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Daniel Kenealy (Oscar Watch) |
71% (17/24)
|
76%
(16/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Crash
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
Moon
|
Runaway
|
|
| Daniel Stasiewski (Film Chair) |
67% (16/24)
|
71%
(15/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Ledger
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Munich
|
Brokeback
|
Transamerica
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
Moon
|
Runaway
|
|
| Darren Keeny (Movie Experience) |
77% (10/13)
|
77%
(10/13)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Penguins
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Dave (Oscar Frenzy) |
76% (16/21)
|
76%
(16/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Memoirs
|
Crash
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
One
|
Runaway
|
|
| Dave Germaine (AP) |
60% (3/5)
|
60%
(3/5)
|
60%
(3/5)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Huffman
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Dave Karger (EW) |
79% (11/14)
|
79%
(11/14)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Dillon
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Penguins
|
-
|
-
|
|
| David Ansen (Newsweek) |
81% (17/21)
|
81%
(17/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Hustle
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
-
|
Penguins
|
-
|
-
|
|
| David Carr (New York Times) |
75% (18/24)
|
81%
(17/21)
|
100%
(8/8)
|
Crash
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Crash
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Enron
|
9
|
Shooter
|
|
| David Fear (MSN) |
83% (5/6)
|
83%
(5/6)
|
83%
(5/6)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
-
|
-
|
Lee
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| David Poland (Movie City News) |
58% (14/24)
|
62%
(13/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Dillon
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Star
Wars
|
-
|
Memoirs
|
Crash
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
Mushroom
|
Penguins
|
Jasper
|
Shooter
|
|
| David Silverberg (DigitalJournal.com) |
80% (4/5)
|
80%
(4/5)
|
67%
(4/6)
|
-
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Weisz
|
-
|
-
|
Lee
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Drewbacca (Movie Patron) |
38% (8/21)
|
38%
(8/21)
|
38%
(3/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
McDormand
|
Good
|
Constant
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Pride
|
Cinderella
|
Munich
|
Memoirs
|
Crash
|
Walk
|
War
|
-
|
Penguins
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Edward Douglas (ComingSoon.com) |
63% (15/24)
|
71%
(15/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Dillon
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Sophie
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Memoirs
|
Hustle
|
War
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
One
|
Runaway
|
|
| Edward Havens (Film Jerk) |
50% (5/10)
|
50%
(5/10)
|
63%
(5/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Knightley
|
Dillon
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
-
|
Sophie
|
Good
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Ed Gonzalez & Eric Henderson (Slant) |
90% (9/10)
|
90%
(9/10)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Penguins
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Emmanuel Levy (EmmanuelLevy.com) |
75% (18/24)
|
81%
(18/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Memoirs
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Constant
|
Memoirs
|
Hustle
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Death
|
Penguins
|
Badgered
|
Our
Time
|
|
| E! |
60% (3/5)
|
60%
(3/5)
|
60%
(3/5)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Adams
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Source
|
All
|
Top
21
|
Top
8
|
|
Actor
|
Actress
|
S.
Actor
|
S.
Actress
|
Orig.
Screenpl.
|
Adapt.
Screenpl.
|
Director
|
Anim.
Feat.
|
Foreign
|
Cinematog.
|
Art
Dir.
|
Vis.
Effects
|
Costume
|
Make-Up
|
Editing
|
Score
|
Song
|
Sound
|
Sound
Edit.
|
Doc.
Short
|
Doc.
Feature
|
Anim.
Short
|
Live
Action Short
|
|
| Entertainment Weekly |
67% (16/24)
|
76%
(16/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Memoirs
|
Crash
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
Death
|
Penguins
|
9
|
Runaway
|
|
| Eugene Hernandez (indieWIRE) |
71% (17/24)
|
76%
(16/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Transamerica
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Murderball
|
One
|
Shooter
|
|
| Garret (Oscar Predictions) |
58% (14/24)
|
67%
(14/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Memoirs
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Memoirs
|
Crash
|
Walk
|
War
|
Death
|
Penguins
|
Badgered
|
Runaway
|
|
| Gene Seymour (Newsday) |
71% (17/24)
|
76%
(16/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Dillon
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Memoirs
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Munich
|
Brokeback
|
Hustle
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Death
|
Penguins
|
9
|
Shooter
|
|
| HSX (Awards Options) |
88% (7/8)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Iain Pardoe (2005 Predictions) |
75% (3/4)
|
75%
(3/4)
|
75%
(3/4)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Lee
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Jack Matthews (New York Daily News) |
67% (10/15)
|
67%
(8/12)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Dillon
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Brokeback
|
Crash
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
-
|
Moon
|
Shooter
|
|
| Jacob Hall (Independent Critics) |
33% (8/24)
|
38%
(8/21)
|
38%
(3/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Huffman
|
Giamatti
|
Adams
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Spielberg
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Brokeback
|
Good
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Star
Wars
|
Munich
|
Memoirs
|
Crash
|
Kong
|
War
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
One
|
Our
Time
|
|
| James (Film Report) |
67% (12/18)
|
67%
(12/18)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Munich
|
Memoirs
|
Crash
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Jeffrey Wells (Hollywood Elsewhere) |
71% (17/24)
|
81%
(17/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Hustle
|
Kong
|
War
|
Death
|
Penguins
|
Badgered
|
Our
Time
|
|
| Joan Vadeboncoer (Post-Standard) |
80% (4/5)
|
80%
(4/5)
|
80%
(4/5)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Jonathan Alba (The Oscar Igloo) |
65% (15/23)
|
75%
(15/20)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Memoirs
|
Hustle
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
-
|
Our
Time
|
|
| Joshua Lawson (Oscar Talk) |
67% (16/24)
|
76%
(16/21)
|
63%
(5/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Williams
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Transamerica
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
One
|
Runaway
|
|
| Ken Tucker (Entertainment Weekly) |
67% (16/24)
|
62%
(13/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Good
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Henderson
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Memoirs
|
Crash
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Triumph
|
Penguins
|
Moon
|
Shooter
|
|
| Kevyn Knox (The Cinematheque) |
54% (13/24)
|
62%
(13/21)
|
63%
(5/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Williams
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Memoirs
|
Transamerica
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
One
|
Runaway
|
|
| Kirk Honeycutt (Hollywood Reporter) |
50% (5/10)
|
50%
(5/10)
|
67%
(4/6)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
-
|
-
|
Squid
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Corpse
|
-
|
Good
|
Kong
|
-
|
Memoirs
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Kris Tapley (In Contention) |
75% (18/24)
|
81%
(17/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Memoirs
|
Crash
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Death
|
Penguins
|
Moon
|
Runaway
|
|
| Kristin Veitch (E!) |
17% (1/6)
|
17%
(1/6)
|
17%
(1/6)
|
Brokeback
|
Howard
|
Huffman
|
Clooney
|
Williams
|
-
|
-
|
Haggis
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Mark Bakalor (Oscar Central) |
79% (19/24)
|
81%
(17/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Crash
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
Moon
|
Shooter
|
|
|
Source
|
All
|
Top
21
|
Top
8
|
|
Actor
|
Actress
|
S.
Actor
|
S.
Actress
|
Orig.
Screenpl.
|
Adapt.
Screenpl.
|
Director
|
Anim.
Feat.
|
Foreign
|
Cinematog.
|
Art
Dir.
|
Vis.
Effects
|
Costume
|
Make-Up
|
Editing
|
Score
|
Song
|
Sound
|
Sound
Edit.
|
Doc.
Short
|
Doc.
Feature
|
Anim.
Short
|
Live
Action Short
|
|
| Michael Sragow (Baltimore Sun) |
63% (15/24)
|
71%
(15/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Joyeux
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Constant
|
Brokeback
|
Hustle
|
Memoirs
|
Memoirs
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
9
|
Farm
|
|
| Michael Phillips (Chicago Tribune) |
75% (18/24)
|
76%
(16/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Hustle
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Murderball
|
Moon
|
Shooter
|
|
| Mike Clark (USA Today) |
50% (3/6)
|
50%
(3/6)
|
50%
(3/6)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Williams
|
-
|
-
|
Lee
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Nathaniel Rogers (Film Experience) |
71% (17/24)
|
76%
(16/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Transamerica
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
Moon
|
Runaway
|
|
| Odds Checker |
67% (14/21)
|
74%
(14/19)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
-
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
-
|
Memoirs
|
Transamerica
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
One
|
-
|
|
| Odie (Cinemaniac) |
71% (17/24)
|
71%
(15/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Star
Wars
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Crash
|
Walk
|
War
|
Triumph
|
Penguins
|
9
|
Shooter
|
|
| Oscar Jam |
55% (11/20)
|
55%
(11/20)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Williams
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Brokeback
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Constant
|
Memoirs
|
Crash
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Oscar Tracker (USA Today) |
83% (5/6)
|
83%
(5/6)
|
83%
(5/6)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
-
|
-
|
Lee
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Oscar Watch |
75% (18/24)
|
81%
(17/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Memoirs
|
Crash
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
9
|
Shooter
|
|
| Pat Pemberton (Tribune News) |
33% (2/6)
|
33%
(2/6)
|
33%
(2/6)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Huffman
|
Gylenhaal
|
Keener
|
-
|
-
|
Lee
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Pete Hammond (Maxim) |
75% (18/24)
|
86%
(18/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Memoirs
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Memoirs
|
Hustle
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
One
|
Our
Time
|
|
| Peter Howell (Toronto Star) |
75% (18/24)
|
76%
(16/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Good
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Crash
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Death
|
Penguins
|
Moon
|
Shooter
|
|
| Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) |
71% (17/24)
|
81%
(17/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Memoirs
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Transamerica
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
One
|
Runaway
|
|
| Pinnacle Sports Odds |
75% (3/4)
|
75%
(3/4)
|
75%
(3/4)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Lee
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Q (Academy Award Speculation) |
67% (16/24)
|
76%
(16/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Transamerica
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
Death
|
Penguins
|
One
|
Our
Time
|
|
| Reuben Pereira (Beacon Newspaper) |
88% (7/8)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Richard Propes (Independent Critics) |
29% (7/24)
|
29%
(7/24)
|
63%
(5/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Adams
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Corpse
|
Paradise
|
Brokeback
|
Good
|
Narnia
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Cinderella
|
Munich
|
Transamerica
|
Walk
|
Memoirs
|
Rwanda
|
Murderball
|
9
|
Our
Time
|
|
| Robert Butler (Kansas City Star) |
83% (5/6)
|
83%
(5/6)
|
83%
(5/6)
|
Crash
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Weisz
|
-
|
-
|
Lee
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Robert Licuria (Awards Heaven) |
67% (14/21)
|
67%
(14/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Gylenhaal
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Star
Wars
|
Constant
|
Memoirs
|
Crash
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
-
|
Penguins
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Robert Schuette (Film Frenzy) |
90% (19/21)
|
90%
(19/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Hustle
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
-
|
Penguins
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
Source
|
All
|
Top
21
|
Top
8
|
|
Actor
|
Actress
|
S.
Actor
|
S.
Actress
|
Orig.
Screenpl.
|
Adapt.
Screenpl.
|
Director
|
Anim.
Feat.
|
Foreign
|
Cinematog.
|
Art
Dir.
|
Vis.
Effects
|
Costume
|
Make-Up
|
Editing
|
Score
|
Song
|
Sound
|
Sound
Edit.
|
Doc.
Short
|
Doc.
Feature
|
Anim.
Short
|
Live
Action Short
|
|
| Richard Roeper (Chicago Sun Times) |
89% (17/19)
|
89%
(17/19)
|
100%
(8/8)
|
Crash
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
-
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
-
|
-
|
Transamerica
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
-
|
Penguins
|
-
|
Cashback
|
|
| Roger Ebert (Chicago Sun Times) |
71% (15/21)
|
71%
(15/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Crash
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Adams
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Good
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Pride
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Transamerica
|
Narnia
|
Kong
|
-
|
Penguins
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Ron (Film-Otaku) |
71% (15/21)
|
71%
(15/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Crash
|
Ledger
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Williams
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Memoirs
|
Hustle
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
-
|
Penguins
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Russ (And the Oscar Goes To...) |
71% (17/24)
|
76%
(16/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Crash
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
Triumph
|
Penguins
|
Jasper
|
Cashback
|
|
| Sarah Linn (The Tribune News) |
60% (3/5)
|
60%
(3/5)
|
60%
(3/5)
|
Brokeback
|
Pheonix
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Williams
|
-
|
-
|
Lee
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Sasha Stone (Oscar Watch) |
58% (14/24)
|
67%
(14/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Memoirs
|
Crash
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
One
|
Runaway
|
|
| Scott Bowles (USA Today) |
65% (15/23)
|
67%
(14/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Memoirs
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Cinderella
|
Constant
|
Brokeback
|
-
|
Walk
|
War
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
One
|
Shooter
|
|
| Scott Feinberg (and the winner is...) |
88% (21/24)
|
86%
(18/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Hustle
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Triumph
|
Penguins
|
Moon
|
Shooter
|
|
| Sean Leary (Quad Cities Online) |
67% (4/6)
|
67%
(4/6)
|
67%
(4/6)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Adams
|
-
|
-
|
Lee
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Shane McNeil (Oscar Talk) |
79% (17/24)
|
81%
(17/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Memoirs
|
Transamerica
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Death
|
Penguins
|
9
|
Runaway
|
|
| Shawn (Oscar Sights) |
67% (16/24)
|
71%
(15/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Gylenhaal
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Memoirs
|
Transamerica
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
Moon
|
Runaway
|
|
| Spencer Shannon (Oscar Talk) |
79% (17/24)
|
81%
(17/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Memoirs
|
Transamerica
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Death
|
Penguins
|
9
|
Runaway
|
|
| Steve Pond (Oscar Beat) |
75% (18/24)
|
81%
(17/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Memoirs
|
Crash
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
Jasper
|
Shooter
|
|
| TC Candler (Independent Critics) |
33% (8/24)
|
33%
(8/24)
|
63%
(5/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Dillon
|
Adams
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Brokeback
|
Good
|
War
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Munich
|
Pride
|
Crash
|
War
|
War
|
Rwanda
|
Enron
|
One
|
Cashback
|
|
| Ted Casablanca (E!) |
67% (4/6)
|
67%
(4/6)
|
67%
(4/6)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Huffman
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
-
|
-
|
Lee
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Terry Lawson (Detroit Free Press) |
67% (14/21)
|
67%
(14/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Good
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Star
Wars
|
Crash
|
Munich
|
Transamerica
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
-
|
Penguins
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Thelma Adams (US Weekly) |
79% (19/24)
|
81%
(17/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Batman
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Crash
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
Moon
|
Shooter
|
|
| Tim Lammers (NBC4, Washington DC) |
67% (4/6)
|
67%
(4/6)
|
67%
(4/6)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Weisz
|
-
|
-
|
Lee
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Tom O'Neil (Gold Derby) |
79% (17/24)
|
76%
(16/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Huffman
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Sophie
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Hustle
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
Moon
|
Runaway
|
|
| Wesley Lovell (The Oscar Guy) |
75% (18/24)
|
%
(17/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Transamerica
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
Moon
|
Our
Time
|
|
|
|
|
72%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
82%
|
9%
|
90%
|
36%
|
33%
|
|
|
|
All
|
Top
21
|
Top
8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|