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Charting the Oscar Winner Predictors Below you will find what is believed to be an accurate reading of the final Oscar winner predictions of many print and online Oscar predictors. Though we've tried to remain as accurate as possible, the chart may very well contain errors. Please send comments, corrections, updates and additions to us via our comment form.
Last Updated March 6, 2006 @ 12:48am (PT)
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Source
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All
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Top
21
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Top
8
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Actor
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Actress
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S.
Actor
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S.
Actress
|
Orig.
Screenpl.
|
Adapt.
Screenpl.
|
Director
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Anim.
Feat.
|
Foreign
|
Cinematog.
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Art
Dir.
|
Vis.
Effects
|
Costume
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Make-Up
|
Editing
|
Score
|
Song
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Sound
|
Sound
Edit.
|
Doc.
Short
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Doc.
Feature
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Anim.
Short
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Live
Action Short
|
|
|
|
Crash
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Hoffman
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Witherspoon
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Clooney
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Weisz
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Crash
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Brokeback
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Lee
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Wallace
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Tsotsi
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Memoirs
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Memoirs
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Kong
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Memoirs
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Narnia
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Crash
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Brokeback
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Hustle
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Kong
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Kong
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Triumph
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Penguins
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Moon
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Shooter
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||||
| Academy Tracker (Variety) |
79% (19/24)
|
%
(18/21)
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88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
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Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
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Wallace
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Tsotsi
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Brokeback
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Memoirs
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Kong
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Memoirs
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Narnia
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Crash
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Brokeback
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Transamerica
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Kong
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Kong
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Rwanda
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Penguins
|
Moon
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Farm
|
|
| Adam Lucyk (Oscar Beachhouse) |
75% (18/24)
|
81%
(17/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Crash
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Adams
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Brokeback
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Memoirs
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Kong
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Memoirs
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Narnia
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Crash
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Brokeback
|
Crash
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Kong
|
Kong
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Rwanda
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Penguins
|
Moon
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Runaway
|
|
|
America's
Line
|
83% (10/12)
|
83%
(10/12)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
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Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
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Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
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Brokeback
|
Transamerica
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Andy Scott (Everything Oscar) |
84% (16/19)
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84%
(16/19)
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88%
(7/8)
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Brokeback
|
Hoffman
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Witherspoon
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Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
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Lee
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Wallace
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-
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Brokeback
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Memoirs
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Kong
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Memoirs
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Narnia
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Crash
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Brokeback
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Hustle
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Walk
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Kong
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-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Anne Thompson (N.Y. Magazine) |
67% (16/24)
|
86%
(16/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
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Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Kong
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
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Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Crash
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Walk
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
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9
|
Our
Time
|
|
| Carla Meyer (Sacramento Bee) |
80% (8/10)
|
80%
(8/10)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
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Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
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Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
-
|
-
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-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
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-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Penguins
|
-
|
-
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|
| Christy Lemire (AP) |
60% (3/5)
|
60%
(3/5)
|
60%
(3/5)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
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Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Williams
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
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-
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-
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-
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-
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-
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-
|
-
|
-
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-
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-
|
-
|
-
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-
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|
| Cifra (Cifra2's Mania) |
70% (7/10)
|
70%
(7/10)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
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Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Williams
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Crash
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Brokeback
|
Lee
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Wallace
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Murderball
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Claudia Pulg (USA Today) |
83% (5/6)
|
83%
(5/6)
|
83%
(5/6)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
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Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
-
|
-
|
Lee
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Daniel Kenealy (Oscar Watch) |
71% (17/24)
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76%
(16/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Brokeback
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Memoirs
|
Kong
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Memoirs
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Narnia
|
Crash
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Brokeback
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Crash
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Walk
|
Kong
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Rwanda
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Penguins
|
Moon
|
Runaway
|
|
| Daniel Stasiewski (Film Chair) |
67% (16/24)
|
71%
(15/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Ledger
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
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Brokeback
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Memoirs
|
Kong
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Memoirs
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Narnia
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Munich
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Brokeback
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Transamerica
|
Kong
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Kong
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Rwanda
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Penguins
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Moon
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Runaway
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|
| Darren Keeny (Movie Experience) |
77% (10/13)
|
77%
(10/13)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
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Witherspoon
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Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Paradise
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Penguins
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Dave (Oscar Frenzy) |
76% (16/21)
|
76%
(16/21)
|
88%
(7/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Memoirs
|
Crash
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
One
|
Runaway
|
|
| Dave Germaine (AP) |
60% (3/5)
|
60%
(3/5)
|
60%
(3/5)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Huffman
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Dave Karger (EW) |
79% (11/14)
|
79%
(11/14)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Dillon
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Penguins
|
-
|
-
|
|
| David Ansen (Newsweek) |
81% (17/21)
|
81%
(17/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Hustle
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
-
|
Penguins
|
-
|
-
|
|
| David Carr (New York Times) |
75% (18/24)
|
81%
(17/21)
|
100%
(8/8)
|
Crash
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Crash
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Enron
|
9
|
Shooter
|
|
| David Fear (MSN) |
83% (5/6)
|
83%
(5/6)
|
83%
(5/6)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Clooney
|
Weisz
|
-
|
-
|
Lee
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| David Poland (Movie City News) |
58% (14/24)
|
62%
(13/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Dillon
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Star
Wars
|
-
|
Memoirs
|
Crash
|
Walk
|
Kong
|
Mushroom
|
Penguins
|
Jasper
|
Shooter
|
|
| David Silverberg (DigitalJournal.com) |
80% (4/5)
|
80%
(4/5)
|
67%
(4/6)
|
-
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
Weisz
|
-
|
-
|
Lee
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Drewbacca (Movie Patron) |
38% (8/21)
|
38%
(8/21)
|
38%
(3/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Giamatti
|
McDormand
|
Good
|
Constant
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Tsotsi
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Pride
|
Cinderella
|
Munich
|
Memoirs
|
Crash
|
Walk
|
War
|
-
|
Penguins
|
-
|
-
|
|
| Edward Douglas (ComingSoon.com) |
63% (15/24)
|
71%
(15/21)
|
75%
(6/8)
|
Brokeback
|
Hoffman
|
Witherspoon
|
Dillon
|
Weisz
|
Crash
|
Brokeback
|
Lee
|
Wallace
|
Sophie
|
Brokeback
|
Memoirs
|
Kong
|
Memoirs
|
Narnia
|
Crash
|
Memoirs
|
Hustle
|
War
|
Kong
|
Rwanda
|
Penguins
|
One
|
Runaway
|
|
| Edward Havens (Film Jerk) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||