OScarCentral.com


2004-2005 Academy Awards
Charting the Oscar Winner Predictors

Below you will find what is believed to be an accurate reading of the final Oscar winner predictions of many print and online Oscar predictors. Though we've tried to remain as accurate as possible, the chart may very well contain errors. Please send comments, corrections, updates and additions to us via our comment form.


Last Updated March 1, 2005 @ 2:04pm (PT)

Source
All
Top 21
Top 8
 
Picture
Actor
Actress
S. Actor
S. Actress
Or. Screenpl.
Ad. Screenpl.
Director
Anim. Feat.
Foreign
Cinematog.
Art Dir.
Vis. Effects
Costume
Make-Up
Editing
Score
Song
Sound
Sound Edit.
Doc. Short
Doc. Feature
Anim. Short
Live Action Short
THE WINNERS 
 
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
EASTWOOD
INCREDIBLES
SEA
AVIATOR
AVIATOR
SPIDER-MAN 2
AVIATOR
LEMONY
AVIATOR
NEVERLAND
MOTORCYCLE
RAY
INCREDIBLES
MIGHTY
BROTHELS
RYAN
WASP
 
Andy Scott (Everything Oscar)
74% (14/19)
74% (14/19)
75% (6/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
VERA DRAKE
SIDEWAYS
SCORSESE
INCREDIBLES
-
PASSION
AVIATOR
SPIDER-MAN 2
AVIATOR
PASSION
AVIATOR
NEVERLAND
SHREK 2
RAY
INCREDIBLES
-
-
-
-
Anne Thompson (N.Y. Magazine)
100% (8/8)
100% (8/8)
100% (8/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
EASTWOOD
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Anthony DeBarros (USA TODAY)
50% (3/6)
50% (3/6)
50% (3/6)
 
SIDEWAYS
FOXX
SWANK
CHURCH
MADSEN
-
-
EASTWOOD
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Award Options (HSX)
100% (8/8)
100% (8/8)
100% (8/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
EASTWOOD
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Christy Lemire (AP)
67% (4/6)
67% (4/6)
67% (4/6)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
OWEN
BLANCHETT
-
-
EASTWOOD
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Dave Germaine (AP)
75% (6/8)
75% (6/8)
75% (6/8)
 
AVIATOR
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
SCORSESE
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Dave Karger (EW)
100% (8/8)
100% (8/8)
100% (8/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
EASTWOOD
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
David McDaniel (RFTE)
76% (16/21)
80% (16/20)
100% (8/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
EASTWOOD
INCREDIBLES
SEA
AVIATOR
AVIATOR
SPIDER-MAN 2
AVIATOR
PASSION
AVIATOR
VILLAGE
PHANTOM
INCREDIBLES
INCREDIBLES
-
SUPER-SIZE
-
-
David Poland (Movie City News)
88% (7/8)
88% (7/8)
88% (7/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
RWANDA
SIDEWAYS
EASTWOOD
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Dean Kish (atnzone.com)
25% (2/8)
25% (2/8)
25% (2/8)
 
AVIATOR
FOXX
BENING
OWEN
PORTMAN
ETERNAL
MILLION
SCORSESE
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Diogo Figueira (Only Cinema)
72% (13/18)
62% (13/21)
75% (6/8)
 
AVIATOR
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
SCORSESE
-
-
AVIATOR
LEMONY
SPIDER-MAN 2
AVIATOR
LEMONY
AVIATOR
NEVERLAND
POLAR
RAY
SPIDER-MAN 2
-
-
-
-
Doug Pratt (Movie City News)
63% (5/8)
63% (5/8)
63% (5/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
CHURCH
BLANCHETT
INCREDIBLES
SIDEWAYS
SCORSESE
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Source
All
Top 21
Top 8
 
Picture
Actor
Actress
S. Actor
S. Actress
Orig. Screenpl.
Ad. Screenpl.
Director
Anim. Feat.
Foreign
Cinematog.
Art Dir.
Vis. Effects
Costume
Make-Up
Editing
Score
Song
Sound
Sound Edit.
Doc. Short
Doc. Feature
Anim. Short
Live Action Short
E!
43% (3/7)
100% (2/2)
100% (2/2)
 
-
-
-
-
-
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
-
-
SEA
-
-
-
-
-
-
PASSION
CHORUS
AVIATOR
POLAR
-
-
-
-
Ed Bradley (Flint Journal)
100% (6/6)
100% (6/6)
100% (6/6)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
-
-
EASTWOOD
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Entertainment Weekly
75% (18/24)
81% (17/21)
100% (8/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
EASTWOOD
INCREDIBLES
SEA
AVIATOR
AVIATOR
SPIDER-MAN 2
AVIATOR
LEMONY
MILLION
NEVERLAND
POLAR
AVIATOR
SPIDER-MAN 2
AUTISM
BROTHELS
RYAN
EVERYTHING
Gary Dretzka (Movie City News)
80% (8/10)
80% (8/10)
88% (7/8)
 
SIDEWAYS
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
EASTWOOD
-
-
HOUSE
-
SPIDER-MAN 2
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Gene Seymour (Newsday)
88% (7/8)
88% (7/8)
88% (7/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
SCORSESE
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Jennifer Brummett (Advocate Messenger)
83% (5/6)
83% (5/6)
83% (5/6)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
-
-
SCORSESE
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Jonathan Alba (The Oscar Igloo)
88% (7/8)
88% (7/8)
88% (7/8)
 
AVIATOR
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
EASTWOOD
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Joe Horton (Daily Trojan)
76% (13/17)
76% (13/17)
100% (8/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
EASTWOOD
INCREDIBLES
CHORUS
AVIATOR
-
SPIDER-MAN 2
-
PASSION
AVIATOR
VILLAGE
SHREK 2
-
-
-
BROTHELS
-
-
Joshua Lawson (Oscar Talk)
71% (17/24)
81% (17/21)
75% (6/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
VERA
MILLION
EASTWOOD
INCREDIBLES
SEA
AVIATOR
AVIATOR
SPIDER-MAN 2
AVIATOR
LEMONY
MILLION
NEVERLAND
SHREK 2
RAY
INCREDIBLES
CHILDREN
BROTHELS
GOPHER
EVERYTHING
J.R. Griffin (E!)
75% (6/8)
75% (6/8)
75% (6/8)
 
AVIATOR
FOXX
SWANK
OWEN
BLANCHETT
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
EASTWOOD
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Kirk Honeycutt (Hollywood Reporter)
88% (15/17)
88% (15/17)
75% (6/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
MADSEN
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
SCORSESE
INCREDIBLES
SEA
AVIATOR
AVIATOR
SPIDER-MAN 2
AVIATOR
-
AVIATOR
NEVERLAND
-
-
-
-
BROTHELS
-
-
Kris Tapley (Oscar Watch)
70% (14/20)
70% (14/20)
75% (6/8)
 
AVIATOR
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
VERA
SIDEWAYS
EASTWOOD
INCREDIBLES
SEA
HOUSE
LEMONY
SPIDER-MAN 2
AVIATOR
LEMONY
AVIATOR
NEVERLAND
SHREK 2
RAY
SPIDER-MAN 2
-
-
-
-
Leonard Klady (Movie City News)
50% (4/8)
50% (4/8)
50% (4/8)
 
AVIATOR
FOXX
SWANK
ALDA
MADSEN
AVIATOR
SIDEWAYS
EASTWOOD
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Source
All
Top 21
Top 8
 
Picture
Actor
Actress
S. Actor
S. Actress
Orig. Screenpl.
Ad. Screenpl.
Director
Anim. Feat.
Foreign
Cinematog.
Art Dir.
Vis. Effects
Costume
Make-Up
Editing
Score
Song
Sound
Sound Edit.
Doc. Short
Doc. Feature
Anim. Short
Live Action Short
Laurence Station (Shaking Through)
50% (10/20)
50% (10/20)
25% (2/8)
 
AVIATOR
FOXX
STAUNTON
OWEN
MADSEN
AVIATOR
SIDEWAYS
SCORSESE
INCREDIBLES
CHORUS
AVIATOR
AVIATOR
SPIDER-MAN 2
AVIATOR
LEMONY
AVIATOR
NEVERLAND
SHREK 2
AVIATOR
SPIDER-MAN 2
-
-
-
-
Margaret McGurk (Cincinnati Enquirer)
80% (4/5)
80% (4/5)
80% (4/5)
 
AVIATOR
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Mark Bakalor (Oscar Central)
75% (18/24)
86% (18/21)
100% (8/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
EASTWOOD
INCREDIBLES
SEA
AVIATOR
AVIATOR
SPIDER-MAN 2
AVIATOR
PASSION
AVIATOR
NEVERLAND
SHREK 2
RAY
SPIDER-MAN 2
AUTISM
BROTHELS
GOPHER
TERRORIST
Michael Musto (Village Voice)
80% (4/5)
80% (4/5)
80% (4/5)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
MADSEN
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Nathaniel Rogers (Film Experience)
67% (16/24)
76% (16/21)
75% (6/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
MADSEN
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
SCORSESE
INCREDIBLES
SEA
AVIATOR
AVIATOR
SPIDER-MAN 2
AVIATOR
PASSION
AVIATOR
NEVERLAND
POLAR
RAY
SPIDER-MAN 2
AUTISM
BROTHELS
BIRTHDAY
TWO
Neil Young (Jigsaw Lounge)
38% (9/24)
38% (8/21)
38% (3/8)
 
AVIATOR
FOXX
STAUNTON
FREEMAN
PORTMAN
VERA
SIDEWAYS
SCORSESE
INCREDIBLES
DOWNFALL
AVIATOR
ENGAGEMENT
SPIDER-MAN 2
AVIATOR
PASSION
AVIATOR
PASSION
SHREK 2
SPIDER-MAN 2
SPIDER-MAN 2
AUTISM
SUPER-SIZE
GUARD
WASP
Oscar Watch
79% (19/24)
86% (18/21)
100% (8/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
EASTWOOD
INCREDIBLES
SEA
ENGAGEMENT
LEMONY
SPIDER-MAN 2
AVIATOR
LEMONY
AVIATOR
NEVERLAND
SHREK 2
RAY
INCREDIBLES
AUTISM
BROTHELS
RYAN
7:35
Pat (atnzone.com)
75% (6/8)
75% (6/8)
75% (6/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
MADSEN
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
SCORSESE
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Pete Hammond (Variety)
88% (7/8)
88% (7/8)
88% (7/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
OKONEDO
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
EASTWOOD
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Pete Tattersall (The Sun Herald)
60% (3/5)
60% (3/5)
60% (3/5)
 
MILLION
FOXX
BENING
FREEMAN
LINNEY
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Q (Academy Award Speculation)
67% (16/24)
76% (16/21)
75% (6/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
MADSEN
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
SCORSESE
INCREDIBLES
SEA
AVIATOR
AVIATOR
SPIDER-MAN 2
AVIATOR
PASSION
AVIATOR
NEVERLAND
SHREK 2
RAY
SPIDER-MAN 2
CHILDREN
BROTHELS
GOPHER
TERRORIST
Ray Pride (Movie City News)
75% (6/8)
75% (6/8)
75% (6/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
MADSEN
ETERNAL
MILLION
EASTWOOD
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Source
All
Top 21
Top 8
 
Picture
Actor
Actress
S. Actor
S. Actress
Orig. Screenpl.
Ad. Screenpl.
Director
Anim. Feat.
Foreign
Cinematog.
Art Dir.
Vis. Effects
Costume
Make-Up
Editing
Score
Song
Sound
Sound Edit.
Doc. Short
Doc. Feature
Anim. Short
Live Action Short
Renee Rodriguez (Miami Herald)
80% (4/5)
80% (4/5)
80% (4/5)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
-
-
-
SCORSESE
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Richard Roeper (CBS2, Chicago)
67% (4/6)
67% (4/6)
67% (4/6)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
MADSEN
-
-
SCORSESE
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Russ (And the Oscar Goes To...)
63% (15/24)
71% (15/21)
88% (7/8)
 
AVIATOR
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
EASTWOOD
INCREDIBLES
SEA
ENGAGEMENT
LEMONY
SPIDER-MAN 2
AVIATOR
LEMONY
AVIATOR
NEVERLAND
POLAR
AVIATOR
SPIDER-MAN 2
SISTER
BROTHELS
BIRTHDAY
7:35
Sasha Stone (Oscar Watch)
67% (16/24)
71% (15/21)
50% (4/8)
 
AVIATOR
FOXX
SWANK
OWEN
BLANCHETT
RWANDA
SIDEWAYS
SCORSESE
INCREDIBLES
SEA
AVIATOR
AVIATOR
SPIDER-MAN 2
AVIATOR
PASSION
AVIATOR
NEVERLAND
SHREK 2
RAY
INCREDIBLES
AUTISM
BROTHELS
BIRTHDAY
WASP
Scott Feinberg (Oscar Talk)
67% (16/24)
71% (15/21)
75% (6/8)
 
SIDEWAYS
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
AVIATOR
SIDEWAYS
EASTWOOD
INCREDIBLES
SEA
AVIATOR
AVIATOR
SPIDER-MAN 2
AVIATOR
PASSION
MILLION
NEVERLAND
POLAR
AVIATOR
INCREDIBLES
CHILDREN
BROTHELS
RYAN
TERRORIST
Shawn (Oscar Sights)
80% (16/20)
80% (16/20)
88% (7/8)
 
AVIATOR
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
EASTWOOD
INCREDIBLES
SEA
AVIATOR
AVIATOR
SPIDER-MAN 2
AVIATOR
PASSION
MILLION
NEVERLAND
PHANTOM
RAY
INCREDIBLES
-
-
-
-
Sid (The Oscar Race)
63% (15/24)
71% (15/21)
63% (5/8)
 
AVIATOR
FOXX
BENING
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
SCORSESE
INCREDIBLES
SEA
AVIATOR
AVIATOR
SPIDER-MAN 2
AVIATOR
PASSION
AVIATOR
NEVERLAND
POLAR
RAY
SPIDER-MAN 2
CHILDREN
BROTHELS
BIRTHDAY
TERRORIST
Sijmen (Oscar Experiment)
71% (17/24)
71% (17/21)
75% (6/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
MADSEN
ETERNAL
MILLION
EASTWOOD
INCREDIBLES
SEA
AVIATOR
AVIATOR
SPIDER-MAN 2
AVIATOR
LEMONY
MILLION
PASSION
MOTORCYCLE
RAY
INCREDIBLES
AUTISM
BROTHELS
BIRTHDAY
TERRORIST
Spencer Shannon (Oscar Talk)
75% (6/8)
75% (6/8)
75% (6/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
VERA
SIDEWAYS
SCORSESE
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Thelma Adams (Us Weekly)
100% (8/8)
100% (8/8)
100% (8/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
ETERNAL
SIDEWAYS
EASTWOOD
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Tim Lammers (NBC4, Washington DC)
83% (5/6)
83% (5/6)
83% (5/6)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
-
-
SCORSESE
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Tom O'Neil (Gold Derby)
88% (7/8)
88% (7/8)
88% (7/8)
 
MILLION
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
ETERNAL
MILLION
EASTWOOD
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Wesley Lovell (The Oscar Guy)
54% (13/24)
62% (13/21)
63% (5/8)
 
AVIATOR
FOXX
SWANK
FREEMAN
BLANCHETT
ETERNAL
MILLION
SCORSESE
INCREDIBLES
CHORUS
AVIATOR
LEMONY
SPIDER-MAN 2
AVIATOR
LEMONY
MILLION
NEVERLAND
POLAR
AVIATOR
INCREDIBLES
AUTISM
BROTHELS
BIRTHDAY
TERRORIST
% Correct Averages -->
71%
79%
78%
62%
100%
90%
84%
67%
72%
85%
57%
100%
79%
81%
74%
100%
100%
42%
70%
76%
5%
58%
42%
0%
87%
17%
17%
Source
All
Top 21
Top 8
 
Picture
Actor
Actress
S. Actor
S. Actress
Orig. Screenpl.
Ad. Screenpl.
Director
Anim. Feat.
Foreign
Cinematog.
Art Dir.
Vis. Effects
Costume
Make-Up
Editing
Score
Song
Sound
Sound Edit.
Doc. Short
Doc. Feature
Anim. Short
Live Action Short