Grading the Oscar Winner Predictors
The Top 26:
The standings on the left are an attempt at seeing how the Oscar winner predictors did at predicting the actual Oscar winners. This list was created with those predictors with the highest number of correctly predicted winners ranked highest. When a tie was determined, an attempt at breaking that tie was made by determining the percentage correct. When ties still existed, those ties were broken by the predictor's predicted top eight category prediction percentage. Even still, ties remain and we've attempted to list these ties in alphabetical order. We can now either stick with the ties or break them with the winner of future fist fights.
With an amazing 22 correctly predicted winners, Variety.com's "Academy Tracker" takes first place. Variety's Tracker is a group based of Variety subscribers who entered their own predictions which were used to determine the Tracker's final nominee standings. Coming in second is another group effort, Entertainment Weekly scored 21. Of individual predictor's, twenty was the magic number with five people predicting as many, four tying for third.
Though it may appear fishy, my being so near the top of my own list two year's in a row, I'm playing on the up and up. Really! Other predictors to make it to the top of the pile two year's in a row include the Academy Tracker (last year #16), Entertainment Weekly (last year #4), Wesley Lovell (last year #8), Joe Nardi (last year #21), Sid (last year tied for #1), Sasha Stone (last year #9), Kris Tapley (last year #4) and Laurence Station (last year #29). For those interested, have a look at last year's charts.
A whopping zero people predicted the Harvey Krumpet for Animated Short to take home the prize while 100% of predictions called the Visual Effects and Best Picture races for Lord of the Rings: Return of the King. Adapted Screenplay and Cinematography were tough categories with only 21% and 38% correct predictions respectively.
Please, keep in mind that this is by no means a scientific standing and was determined only from the 76 prediction lists featured here where you will find what is believed to be an accurate reading of the final Oscar winner predictions of these predictors. Though I've tried to remain as accurate as I can, these standings and the snapshot below may very well contain errors and miscalculations. Please send comments, corrections, updates and additions to us via our comment form.
Congratulations to all... see you next year!
1. Academy Tracker 22 2. Entertainment Weekly 21 3. Mark Bakalor 20 3. Scott Feinberg 20 3. Wesley Lovell 20 3. David McDaniel 20 7. Joshua Lawson 20 8. Shane McNeil 19 8. David Thomas 19 10. Joe Nardi 18 11. Kermit 18 11. Sid 18 13. Sasha Stone 18 14. Steve Warren 17 15. Ray Pride 17 16. Peter Howell 17 17. Leonard Klady 17 18. Shawn 17 18. Kris Tapley 17 20. Gary Jaffe 17 21. Backstage.com 16 22. Diogo Figueira 16 23. Laurence Station 16 24. Oscar Watch 16 25. Gary Dretzka 16 25. Russ 16